Trend analysis of Covid-19 epidemiological indicators in a health microregion in Minas Gerais

Abstract

It is known that the impact of Covid-19 is different between large centers and inland regions that have large rural areas, difficulty accessing services and more vulnerable populations. Thus, the study aimed to analyze the epidemiological trend of Covid-19, as well as to estimate the incidence, lethality and mortality rates of Covid-19 in the city of Viçosa/MG and its microregion from March 2020 to January 2022. For this, a time series, quantitative, exploratory and descriptive study was built from secondary data of the Panel of monitoring of cases of Covid-19 of Minas Gerais, referring to the number of confirmed cases, of deaths, hospitalizations and recovery. The data was organized in Microsoft Excel and processed in Stata software. Using linear regression models and descriptive analysis, it was found that there was an increase in the number of confirmed cases and cases recovered for the complete period analyzed. In 2021, there was a reduction in the number of confirmations and recoveries. Although the city of Viçosa/MG had the highest incidence, the highest lethality and mortality rates were found in smaller cities belonging to its health microregion.